04th January 2021

Good morning,

Over the Christmas period, the U.S. agreed a stimulus package, a Brexit agreement was signed, and a number of vaccines were approved for use. Also, today investors in Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot will be asked to approve a merger to create the world’s fourth largest carmaker – a deal several years in the making. So, plenty of positive developments whilst we had a break.

However, despite the rollercoaster ride in 2020, there are no guarantees that 2021 will be benign for markets. Already we are seeing increased COVID case numbers, issues with vaccine rollouts, and enduring political strife over the U.S. election. With that in mind, we continue to employ a flexible approach, within our longstanding and consistent active top down investment process.

Weekly Investment News
Markets were relatively calm last week, in a shortened trading week given the festive period. U.S. markets did hit a record high as a stimulus package was finally agreed. Whilst President Trump is critical of the deal (wishing for $2,000 vs $600 for individual stimulus) he has signed it after the package passed both chambers of Congress. Republican lawmakers also defied the President by voting to override his defence bill veto. However, the President continues to wield influence as a number of Senators and Members of Congress look set to oppose Biden’s election formally this week. The numbers include high profile Republicans such as Ted Cruz, as politicians look to capitalise on Trump’s grassroot popularity.

Optimism over the rollout of vaccines worldwide helped support sentiment as the U.K. became the first country to approve the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine for use. It looks set to administer the first shots today amid rising case numbers and calls for a tighter lockdown grow. A number of Eurozone countries (including Ireland) are seeing record numbers of cases with the logistical rollout of vaccines coming into sharper focus.

Overall, Eurozone share rose slightly last week following the culmination of the Brexit negotiations and the signing of an overall agreement. Whilst the practical implications are still being bedded in, the news is undoubtedly positive. The EU and China also signed a new investment treaty, following seven years of negotiations. However, the treaty is still to be ratified and won’t come into effect until 2022 at the earliest.

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